Contents

Economic and market outlook

What a remarkable year we just experienced. True to his word, President Trump went bigger and bolder than before. He took a wrecking ball to global norms and institutions, pushing his personal and America First agendas to new extremes. And yet stock markets were up double digits (in US dollars) again. How can this be? More importantly, can it continue?

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Global equity outlook

President Trump, Artificial Intelligence (AI), mega-cap dominance, and the US valuation premium: as we enter a new calendar year, we could almost copy and paste the big themes from January 2025. Twelve months ago, central bankers were expected to support economies by lowering interest rates, which they did – and more cuts are anticipated in 2026.

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Market data & important disclosures

The market data referenced in this publication are detailed in this section with performance figures from 2021 to 2025.

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